Whole Earth Forecaster

<body topmargin=0 leftmargin=0 marginheight=0 marginwidth=0> <table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=0 height="100%"><tr> <td valign="top" width=154 BGCOLOR="#333333" TEXT="#F7F7FF" background="0789ac00ddualp.png"> <div> <TABLE BORDER="0" CELLPADDING="2" CELLSPACING="0" WIDTH="95" BORDERCOLORLIGHT="#C0C0C0" BORDERCOLORDARK="#808080" FRAME="BOX" RULES="ALL" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" > <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 46 WIDTH="91"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="46" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="91" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> </TABLE></div> <bR> <div>    </div> <div>   </div> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <div> <IMG SRC="6ce78ad0.jpg" border=0 width="120" height="173" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="6" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> <A HREF="id48.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Berg Timer Method"><U>The Berg Timer</U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id41.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Products"><U>Products</U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id45.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Evidence"><U>Evidence</U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id36.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="References"><U>Bibliography</U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id37.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Links"><U>Links</U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id44.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Contact Me"><U>Contact</U></A></div> </td> <td valign="top" BGCOLOR="#FFFFFF" TEXT="#080000"> <div> <FONT SIZE="7" COLOR="#003333" FACE="Edwardian Script ITC" >TheWhole Earth Forecaster</FONT><FONT SIZE="7" COLOR="#003333" FACE="Garamond" > </FONT><FONT SIZE="4" COLOR="#003333" FACE="Arial" >™</FONT>                                                                          <FONT SIZE="2" COLOR="#003333" FACE="Arial" >C</FONT><FONT SIZE="2" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Tempus Sans ITC" >opyright 2013 WEF</FONT></div> <div> <TABLE BORDER="0" CELLPADDING="1" CELLSPACING="1" WIDTH="860" BORDERCOLORLIGHT="#C0C0C0" BORDERCOLORDARK="#808080" FRAME="VOID" RULES="NONE" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" > <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <B>ECONOMICS</B></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <B>WEATHER</B></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><div> <B>BEHAVIOR</B></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <B>NATURAL DISASTERS</B></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <B>ENVIRONMENT</B></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><div> <B>HEALTH</B></div> </tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id47.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Stock Market"><U>Stock Market</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id26_long_term_temp.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Temperature</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><div> <A HREF="id28_war__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>War</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27_tsunamis_.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Tsunami</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id39_flares___1.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Solar Flares</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><div> <A HREF="id28_asthma_episodes__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Asthma</U></A></div> </tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><div> <A HREF="id25_recession___.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Economics"><U>GDP</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id26.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Precipitation</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><div> <A HREF="id28_murder_in_us.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Murder Rates</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27_hurricanes.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Hurricanes</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id39_atmosphere.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Energetic Particles</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><div> <A HREF="id28_influenza__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Influenza</U></A></div> </tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id25_rates__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Economics"><U>Interest Rates</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id39_snowcover.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Snow Depth</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><div> <A HREF="id28_homocides__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Homicides</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27_tornadoes__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Tornadoes</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id39_aurora_.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Aurora</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_admissions__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Hospital Admit.</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id25_commodities__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Economics"><U>Commodities</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id39_snow_frequency.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Snow Days</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_assaults_with_weapons__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Weapon Assaults</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27_volcanoes__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Volcanoes</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id39_el_nino.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>El Nino</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id25_durable.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Economics"><U>Durable Goods</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id26_lightning__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Lightning</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_boating_accidents__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Boating Accidents</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Earthquakes</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id39_ozone__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Global Ozone</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 ><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id25_mortgage_apps.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Economics"><U>Mortgage Fees</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id39_monsoon__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Monsoon</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id26_precip___auto_accidents__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Auto Accidents</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id27_moonquakes.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Natural Disasters"><U>Moonquakes</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id39_water_quality.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Water Quality</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><div> <A HREF="id26_sunshine.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Cloudiness</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_aircraft_fatalities__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Aircraft Fatalities</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id26_wildfires__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Wildfires</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><div> <A HREF="id26_arctic_ice__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Arctic Ice</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id26_sunshine.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Earth Wind Speed</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_railroad_injuries__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Railroad Accidents</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id26_hail_storms__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Hail Storms</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id39_atmosangmomentum.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Atmospheric Angular </U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id26_mars_wind_speed.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Mars Wind Speed</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id28_fire_incidents__.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Fire Incidents</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><div> <A HREF="id26_flood_of_1927.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Weather"><U>Great Flood of 1927</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP><NOBR><div> <A HREF="id39_atmosangmomentum.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>Momentum (LOD)</U></A></div> </NOBR></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="153" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><div> <A HREF="id28_fishing___.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Behavior"><U>Fish Catch</U></A></div> </tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="194" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="149" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> <tR> <tD VALIGN=TOP HEIGHT= 21 WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="153"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="153" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="123"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="123" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="194"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="194" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="149"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="149" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> <tD VALIGN=TOP WIDTH="111"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="21" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="111" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></tD> </tR> </TABLE></div> <DIV ALIGN="LEFT"></DIV> <div> <A HREF="id48.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Berg Timer Method"><U>The Berg Timer</U></A>™ is an index of astronomical tidal forces.  </div> <div> This body of work empirically proves that the planets' motions have a connective, perhaps causal effect upon solar activity, terrestrial climate, weather, environmental change, and biological behavior.</div> <div> BT is a valuable, accurate, forecasting tool since planetary placements are known infinitely into the future with no loss in reliability.</div> <bR> <div> <A HREF="id47_stock_market.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Stock Market"><U><I>Long-Term Stock Market Berg Timer Forecast to 2025.  2012 Forecast Correct</I></U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="#winter_storm" TITLE="Whole Earth Forecaster"><U><I>The Berg Timer correctly forecasts major Winter storm which swept across U.S. in late December 2012</I></U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id53.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Trading Room"><U><I>The WEF Trading Room --- The best systems for trading stocks</I></U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="id39_el_nino.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U><I>El Nino Berg Timer Forecast to 202</I></U></A><A HREF="id39_el_nino.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U><I>0</I></U></A></div> <div> <A HREF="#drought" TITLE="Whole Earth Forecaster"><U><I>Berg Timer Forecasts Major Drought in 2020's</I></U></A></div> <bR> <bR> <div> <I>The relationships set forth here imply that certain dynamic forces exerted on the sun by the motions of the planets are the cause of the sunspot activity. </I></div> <div> <B>Paul D. Jose, Aerospace Research, USAF. </B><I><B>The Astronomical Journal</B></I><B>, Vol. 70. April 1965.</B></div> <bR> <div> <I>It is found empirically that solar activity is preceded by planetary conjunctions. A long-range prediction technique has been in use for 2.5 years, which predicts flares and proton events months in advance. </I></div> <div> <B>J.B. Blizard, Denver University. </B><I><B>American Physical Society Bulletin #13</B></I><B>, June 1968.</B></div> <bR> <div> <I>In summation, after more than 25 years of research in this field of solar system science, I can say without equivocation that there is very strong evidence that the planets, when in certain predictable arrangements, do cause changes to take place in those solar radiations that control our ionosphere.</I></div> <div> <B>John H. Nelson, RCA Communications. </B><B><U>Cosmic Patterns</U></B><B>. 1974.</B></div> <bR> <div> <IMG SRC="84dda470.png" border=0 width="730" height="327" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> Solar flares are most likely to occur immediately before and after strong Berg Timer.  See above the major flare events occurring with the recent strong BT values on April 27 and May 14.  More history is shown below.</div> <div> Flare data source:  <A HREF="http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/" TARGET="_top" TITLE="http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/"><U>http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/</U></A></div> <bR> <bR> <div> I discovered the Berg Timer <FONT SIZE="3" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Times New Roman" >(BT)</FONT> on November 19, 1980.  The <I>Whole Earth Forecaster</I> newsletter then began in 1981. This website replaced the newsletter in November 2001.</div> <bR> <div> Hi, my name is Larry Berg.  Ever since I turned over my first rock as a child, I've been fascinated by Nature.  My passion has been the study of natural cycles, specifically, the relationship between planetary cycles, solar cycles, and the cycles of Earth's weather, biosphere, geology, and human behavior.</div> <bR> <div> The development of  the Berg Timer and the research on this website are the result of over 38 years and 50,000 hours of concentration, labor, sacrifice, frustration, discovery, data acquisition, and analysis.  A special "thank you" to all the scientists, engineers, and researchers in all fields of study who make data available for research.</div> <bR> <div> It is everyone's necessity to know the future.  Whether it's weather, sales, politics, markets, illness, everyone is dependent, to some extent, upon future circumstances.  Knowing more about natural cycles, and being able to predict the future, enables one to decrease the probability of allowing things to happen by chance and, thus, have more control over one's life and business.  </div> <bR> <div> I discovered a simple indicator which can forecast many things, very reliably.  Farmers and traders now know when the next drought will occur, and when it's most likely to be rainy and cool.  Emergency services now know when accidents are most likely to happen.  Business owners can forecast sales strength.  Realtors, homeowners, and investors know interest rate trends.  Now we all know when to schedule outdoor activities for the best weather.  Anything you want to know that's related to weather, which is just about everything, can be forecasted by the Berg Timer.  Since BT is based on planetary motion, and planetary motion can be projected with precise accuracy, BT can forecast infinitely into the future without loss in reliability.  And it's forecast can be tailored to any location.</div> <bR> <div> BT's applications are so broad that any institution, business, or individual would gain by applying it to their particular activity.</div> <bR> <div> Welcome.  Join me as I turn over some more rocks.</div> <bR> <div> <B>The Sun</B></div> <div> <IMG SRC="843035b0.png" border=0 width="771" height="347" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> Astronomical tidal forces affect solar and planetary atmospheres.  The precise mechanism is not known, but there is strong empirical evidence that there is a force, perhaps unknown, which exerts an effect on all solar system planetary environments.  This force causes plasma and energetic particles to be spewed out by the sun.  This force also causes atmospheric and geophysical change in all solar system planets.  There are lead and lag times with respect to the sun and the planets but the relationships are consistent for each body and indice.  </div> <div> With regard to the sun, above is shown the total number of solar flares before and after the 158 occurrances of BT equalling "7" strength or more in the seven years 1998 through 2004. Most solar flares occur within a one week window of peaking BT, with up to 48% more flare activity when BT is high than when it is low.</div> <div> Solar activity increases as tidal forces strengthen.  Flares peak as BT tidal forces are at their strongest, then flares decrease as BT weakens.  The Berg Timer is able to forecast solar activity.  </div> <div> Click <A HREF="id45_pmotions.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Evidence"><U>here</U></A> to read scientific evidence for the effect of astronomical tides upon solar activity.  If you are interested in the mechanics of how BT correlates with solar activity then please read the <A HREF="id39_flares___1.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="The Environment"><U>SolarFlare</U></A> page including info on Solar Electron Fluence and Aurora strength.</div> <bR> <div> <FONT SIZE="4" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Arial" ><B>2011-2012 Total Solar Flares and Berg Timer</B></FONT> <A NAME="2011_flares"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></div> <div> See below the Berg Timer compared to total solar flares for 2011, 2012, 2013.  Solar flares are most probable during the low BT points just before and after strong BT.  This is consistent with the study above.</div> <div> <IMG SRC="844fd090.png" border=0 width="1021" height="265" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div>    <IMG SRC="846d5160.png" border=0 width="981" height="278" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <bR> <bR> <div> <B>U.S. Precipitation, Airline Delays, and the Berg Timer</B><B> <A NAME="us_precip"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></B></div> <div> I've searched many years for an index of daily U.S. precipitation.  There isn't one, so I made one.  The following study compares daily precipitation of 45 continental U.S. cities to the Berg Timer during 2012.  Below are the cities used for the precipitation indicator.  </div> <bR> <div> <IMG SRC="8136e600.jpg" border=0 width="878" height="352" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <bR> <div> Below is the Berg Timer compared to the daily precipitation total of 45 geographically representative U.S. cities and % of daily United Airlines flights that were "Late" (divided by 2 for charting purposes).  Storm systems occur within a day of strong BT days.  So it's not surprising that airline late arrivals are high when BT is high.</div> <div> <FONT SIZE="4" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Times New Roman" >Travel delays can be avoided by using the Berg Timer to plan travel.  Air Travel within 1 day of Berg Timer value "5" or higher has a high probability of delay.  Ground travelers should consult weather information for weather warnings in their travel area during strong BT days. Event planners for outside events should avoid strong Berg Timer days if possible.</FONT> <A NAME="precip_and_airlines"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></div> <bR> <div> <IMG SRC="8309e260.png" border=0 width="926" height="294" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> United Airlines data source: <FONT SIZE="4" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Arial" > </FONT><FONT SIZE="4" COLOR="#0000FF" FACE="Arial" ><A HREF="http://apps.bts.gov/xml/ontimesummarystatistics/src/index.xml" TARGET="_top" TITLE="http://apps.bts.gov/xml/ontimesummarysta"><U><U>http://apps.bts.gov/xml/ontimesummarystatistics/src/index.xml</U></U></A></FONT></div> <bR> <div> Below is the last half of 2012 year's precipitation and BT (airline data not available for last half of year yet).  See how the strongest BT of the year correctly forecasted the major winter storm that swept across the country in late December with pinpoint accuracy, causing over 5,000 airline delays and cancellations during the Christmas holiday season. Knowledge of BT peaking on December 20 provided the traveler the ability to avoid this time period and thus avoid long delays, cancellation, and sleeping in airports. <A NAME="winter_storm"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></div> <div> <IMG SRC="8329e220.png" border=0 width="926" height="290" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> precipitation data source:  <A HREF="http://www.wunderground.com" TARGET="_top" TITLE="http://www.wunderground.com"><U>www.wunderground.com</U></A></div> <bR> <bR> <div> source:  <A HREF="http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/" TARGET="_top" TITLE="http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/"><U>http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/old_indices/</U></A></div> <bR> <div> <B>2012 Total Storm Reports (Tornadoes, Hail & Wind)</B><B> <A NAME="2011tornados"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></B></div> <div> Below are BT and Total Storm Reports for 2012.  Just like solar flares, severe weather is most probable during low BT just before and after strong BT days.  Note the big surge in storm reports around the strong BT days of March 3, April 15, May 6, June 10, June 29, July 23, and Aug 14.  Storm Reports correlate positively with Solar Flares shown above.  See the two major outbreaks of flares and storm reports in early March and early July, 2012.</div> <div> <IMG SRC="7f8e2180.png" border=0 width="994" height="280" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> source:  <A HREF="http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly" TARGET="_top" TITLE="http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/mon"><U>http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly</U></A></div> <bR> <div> <B>The Yearly Berg Timer</B></div> <div> Low periods in BT are indicative of drought in the United States and lows in the world economy.  High periods of yearly BT indicate low seismic activity, strong world stock markets and high precipitation.</div> <div> Note that as of this writing (April 2008) BT shows that the economy will bottom during the first year of our new next president (2009). Then the economy will improve for the next year (2010), then a decline for at least the next couple years of the new president (2011, 2012).  So our next president may well end his/her presidency at an economic low and be blamed for the very bad economic situation.</div> <div> The government really has little control over the economy.  It all depends on the weather and how people behave. One president or one congress does not have the means to control that factor.  On the other hand, when BT is low, the likelihood of war is low, so the Iraq situation, and other problems (Iran, Russia, N. Korea), may well be off the headlines by the end of our next president's term (2012), and the next president may well gain praise for "solving" these international problems.  The economy should be a major sour point for the president who is in office in 2009-2012.  But, the president elected in 2012 will see the economy strengthen in 2015, the third year of his/her first/second term.  So it goes.  If the president elected in 2012 is a first term president, he/she will be re-elected due to a strong economy at the time of re-election in 2016.</div> <div> See pages devoted to each subject for more detailed forecasts.</div> <div> <IMG SRC="7e8744b0.png" border=0 width="884" height="331" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> written/published July 2012 ---</div> <bR> <div> The Berg Timer's Long-Term Forecast correctly forecasted 2012's low precipitation, high temperatures, low interest rates, La Nina, weak economy, and weak stock market.</div> <bR> <div> Hang on, this trend is not substantially broken until 2015.</div> <bR> <div> This BT forecast has been published on the home page since 2001.  </div> <bR> <div> Notice, in the above chart, the strong up BT cycle during the Clinton administration of 1993 through 2000, thus President Clinton's economic success due to the natural cycles. Notice in the chart below the very strong BT during Ronald Reagan's 1981-1988, thus helping him to succeed.  Then note the low BT as G.W. Bush was finishing his second term in 2008-9. Thus the economic disaster inherited by President Obama, and for which he is semi-succeeding in blaming G.W. Bush.  Then note the bottoming of BT in 2011-12, thus the difficulty President Obama is having with the current economy.</div> <bR> <div> The next president will enjoy the favor of presiding over the economic recovery of 2015. </div> <bR> <div> If President Obama wins in November, he will take credit for the 2015 recovery. If Governor Romney wins, the economic recovery of 2015 will result in a second term for President Romney.</div> <div> If there were anything the current president could have done to stimulate the economy, don't you think he would have done it by now? He tried with the stimulus but failed.</div> <bR> <div> So, to put it all in perspective, except for making some changes in domestic and foreign policies, it's an illusion to think that there is anything a president, dictator, congress, parliament, union, or federal reserve can do to alter the world economic and climatic changes accurately forecasted by the Berg Timer cycle.</div> <bR> <div> See below the similarity between the Berg Timer during the Dustbowl 1930's and BT during the 2020's.   <A NAME="drought"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A></div> <div> <IMG SRC="7e9a20b0.png" border=0 width="930" height="267" ALT="Microsoft Excel Chart" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <bR> <bR> <div>  <a href="http://www.tinycounter.com" target="_blank" title="free web counter"><img border="0" alt="free web counter" src="http://mycounter.tinycounter.com/index.php?user=64skylark"></a>  </div> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> </td> </tr></table></body>